Aspinall's Verdict on Makhachev

August 14, 2026

"No One Can Beat Him": Tom Aspinall's Take

The buzz surrounding a potential Islam Makhachev move to welterweight is reaching a fever pitch, and top figures in the sport are weighing in. According to UFC Interim Heavyweight Champion Tom Aspinall, the forecast for any 170-pounder facing Makhachev is grim. In a stunning declaration, Aspinall stated he simply cannot identify a welterweight who can realistically defeat the lightweight king right now. His confidence in Makhachev's ability to dominate is built on one key factor: control.

When analyzing a potential clash with a dangerous striker like Ian Garry, Aspinall gives the edge to Makhachev's suffocating pressure and grappling. "He gives Islam a better chance of controlling the fight than Ian Garry has of landing a decisive moment," the report explains. While Aspinall admits Garry can "absolutely win" with a single game-changing shot, he sees Makhachev as having far more ways to dictate the terms of the fight. Even the question of championship-round cardio doesn't sway him; Aspinall believes Garry has never shown signs of fading and will be physically strong for all five rounds. Yet, the final verdict remains the same: Islam's pressure, control, and overall skill set make him the man to beat at 170.

A Puncher's Chance vs. Unrelenting Control

While Aspinall presents a formidable case for Makhachev, other respected minds see a clearer path to victory for the challenger. On a recent podcast, legendary striking coach Ray Longo broke down the matchup, acknowledging that while Makhachev is the better all-around fighter, Ian Garry possesses a unique set of attributes that could cause serious problems. Longo pointed to Garry's physical frame—his size, reach, and awkward movement—as potential disruptors to Makhachev's relentless forward pressure.

This isn't just a stylistic hope; it's a strategy backed by intense preparation. The report highlights that Garry has dedicated his entire training camp to one thing: neutralizing the Dagestani wrestling machine. By working closely with high-level wrestlers, Garry is aiming to become comfortable in the very positions where so many others have crumbled. This specialized training, combined with his natural physical gifts, forms the foundation of a compelling counter-argument to Aspinall's prediction.

The X-Factor: Can Garry's Mindset Bridge the Gap?

Beyond the physical and technical, Ray Longo believes Ian Garry's greatest weapon might be his mentality. Describing him as "a little crazy," Longo suggests Garry's unique self-belief could be the deciding factor. This confidence is reportedly bolstered by his past experience, particularly his grueling fight against Shavkat Rakhmonov, which forced him to survive deep into the contest against another world-class grappler. According to some analysts, that bout was the perfect crucible to forge the skills needed to face Islam.

However, Longo offered a crucial piece of tactical advice: Garry might need to "make this fight boring." The goal is to prevent Makhachev from ever getting access to his legs, refusing to engage in exchanges that offer easy takedown opportunities. By learning from the experiences of fighters like Dustin Poirier, who felt the consequences of giving an elite grappler an inch, Garry must fight with disciplined caution. Ultimately, training can only do so much. The real test will come when the cage door locks and Garry has to prove his preparation can withstand the most intense pressure in the sport.

Divisional Chatter: Cormier's Pain and Makhachev's Praise

The conversation around greatness extends beyond this single matchup. In a moment of raw honesty, Daniel Cormier opened up about the most difficult part of his rivalry with Jon Jones: the realization that his own legendary work ethic wasn't enough to overcome Jones's extraordinary natural talent. "For the first time he encountered someone who could beat him without appearing to work as hard as he did," the report states, a painful lesson for a fighter who built his career on pure grit.

Meanwhile, Islam Makhachev showed a surprisingly respectful side, offering praise for his online rival Ilia Topuria. Despite their history, Makhachev expressed his belief that Topuria is young and skilled enough to bounce back from his recent loss and make another run for a title. He credited Ilia's punching power and ground skills, stating he has all the tools to return to the top. It was an unexpected moment of sportsmanship from the champion, proving that even in a world of intense rivalries, respect for a fellow warrior's journey can shine through.

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